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Horizon Scan Methodology and Background Papers
Horizon Scanning is gaining acceptance as a methodology to develop a collective view of future directions in an area of interest. A seminal paper that guided the development of the 1st SCAR Science Horizon Scan is the paper by Sutherland et al (2011) that analyzes several horizon scan activities and recommends best practice based on these experience. This paper is highly recommended as basic reading for all persons involved in this Horizon Scan:
Other examples of the use of Horizon Scanning:
- Sutherland, W.J., et al, 2012, A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2012, Trends in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 27, no. 1, 12-18
- Sutherland, W.J., et al, 2012, A horizon scanning assessment of current and potential future threats to migratory shorebirds, Ibis, vol. 154, 4, 663-679 - online DOI: 10.1111/j.1474-919X.2012.01261.x
- Sutherland, W.J., et al, 2013, Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions, Journal of Ecology, 101, 58-67
- Sutherland, W.J., et al, 2013, A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2013, Trends in Ecology and Evolution, vol. 28, no. 1, 16-22
Background Papers
- Future Science Opportunities in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean - a report by the US National Academy of Sciences, 2011
- A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2012 - Bill Sutherland, et al, Cell Press, 2012
- A horizon scan of global conservation issues for 2013 - Bill Sutherland, et al, Cell Press, 2013
- Strengthening Environmental Foresight: Potential Contributions of Futures Research - Bengston, et al, Ecology and Society, 2012
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